Tag Archives: Politics

The Fruits of Our Labor

Quick.  Below, which company would you want to own?

52 Week View Range: $0.06 - $5.10

This is one Company.  See the second one below.

52 Week View Range: $1.50 - $9.14

Is it even close?  One company is taking off.  Not hard to do, the market has come back by some 60%.  However the other company, even in one of the best markets we have seen in years, is tanking.

The first company is Government Motors.

The second one is Ford.

Go Obama!

Danger Ahead

A couple of days ago I gave my explanation of why California doesn’t have any water left.  The basic idea is that when the price of a thing is reduced and limited below what the market would otherwise bare, you will experience a shortage of that thing.

This is true of water in California
This is true of housing in New York during rent control.
This is true of housing in San Francisco during rent control.
This is true of gasoline during times of rising prices.

So why is it that very smart people don’t take these lessons to heed?

Dorgan’s drug re-importation amendment is another significant hurdle. Allowing for the importation of cheaper drugs from Canada and European countries is popular among many Democrats and Republicans, giving Dorgan’s proposal a strong chance of passage.

Unbelievable.  Drug companies make drugs to sell, at a profit.  The market in the US is SO massive that they can sustain gross economic policies in other countries that force these companies to sell thier drugs for less than cost.  Now, the US wants to take those drugs from those countries and re-import them here.  For a price less than the market can bare.
Guess whats gonna happen?

Hat Tip: Say Anything

Seriously Confused

This time, it’s me I am accusing.  Not Obama.

I have been reading the reports of the unemployment situation today and two things have stood out. The first, from the BLS:

The unemployment rate edged down to 10.0 percent in November, and nonfarm payroll employment was essentially unchanged (-11,000)

And the second from MarketWatch:

The report was much better than expected by economists surveyed by MarketWatch, who were looking for 100,000 fewer jobs…

Okay, let’s start with #2 first.  I have seen several reports that show November was expected to lose 100,000 to 130,000 jobs.  And we came in losing only 11,000.  No one, not ONE single person O have seen has stopped and said, “Huh”?  This is off by just a little bit folks.  These guys were off by a FACTOR OF TEN!  No one is THAT wrong and gets away with it.  Unless of course, you are Al Gore.

So, okay, experts were wrong.  And by a lot.  But that gets us to point #1.  We still lost jobs.

In October, unemployment stood at 10.2%.  We lost jobs.  Even if it was only 1, we lost net jobs.  The rate HAS to stay the same or get worse.  Right?  Wrong.  We lost job AND the unemployment rate got better.

Weird.

Unrelated news.  Houston is expecting 2 inches of snow.  Silly polar bears need migrate!

Note to Obama

Obama is having his jobs summit today; in fact it may already be over.  In the spirit of wondering how to create more jobs, I noticed that Krugman has a solution:

Meanwhile, the federal government could provide jobs by … providing jobs. It’s time for at least a small-scale version of the New Deal’s Works Progress Administration, one that would offer relatively low-paying (but much better than nothing) public-service employment. There would be accusations that the government was creating make-work jobs, but the W.P.A. left many solid achievements in its wake. And the key point is that direct public employment can create a lot of jobs at relatively low cost. In a proposal to be released today, the Economic Policy Institute, a progressive think tank, argues that spending $40 billion a year for three years on public-service employment would create a million jobs, which sounds about right.

That got me to thinking.  There are currently about 15.7 million unemployed people in America.  Almost all are receiving some form of unemployment benefits.  How about instead of spending $40 billion a year for 3 years like Krugman says, we just make these people do the work he is suggesting and call ’em jobs?  Why would we create a program to offer “relatively low-paying” jobs for people to work when we already have a program that offers “relatively low-paying” jobs where people have to do–NOTHING!?

Krugman.  Sheesh.

Hat tip:  Forbes

California: Part III

Water water everywhere.  And not a drop to drink.

Sounds like California is thirsty:

Operators of the sprawling state system that supplies water to 25 million Californians from Butte County to San Diego issued their lowest-ever estimate on the amount of water they will be able to deliver.

Officials predicted Tuesday they will be able to offer only 5 percent of the total volume of water requested by California cities and farms next year. That’s the smallest water allocation the agency has released since its creation in 1967.

Government in Action

That’s quite a gap.  Now, to be fair, you can see in the chart above that there are years in which the water allocations eventually meet 100% of the need, but more than often, they don’t.

Makes you wonder why this is, right?  I mean California should have plenty of water to supply their need.  Why are they so short so often?  What could possible cause a shortage in a specific commodity?

Well, I just finished a fantastic book:  Basic Economics by Thomas Sowell.  And it just so happens that Mr. Sowell does indeed talk about shortages and what causes them.  One word:  Regulation.  For example, have you ever noticed that it always seems the grocery store is out of Coke when you go to buy some?  Or that gas stations always seem to be empty when you need to fill up?  I know I know.  Every time you go to buy a pair of sunglasses, there are none available?  Huh?  Never happens?  Wanna know why?  Because no one is regulating the price of these products.  They are selling at a price the market can bare.  And so supply is nearly always available.

Now, if I told you that Wal-Mart was going to be selling Coke 6-paks for a dime starting at 6pm tomorrow night, what do you think the scene would be?  Packed initially and then finally, they would run out.  They would run out when under normal circumstances, they would have a predictable supply for anybody to come and buy as much as they need/want.  And why doesn’t someone come in and buy all of the supply of Coke now?  Because the marginal cost of Coke dictates that we won’t waste or hoard it.

So, again, what cause a shortage?  Regulation; specifically the imposition of a reduced price when supply remains fixed.  So, why do you think that California State Water Project has problems meeting 100% of need?  Because they are regulations in place that reduce the cost of water for significant portions of the population:

In 2002, the average price paid for irrigation water from the CVP (Central Valley Project-An agricultural district) was less than 2 percent of what residents of Los Angeles pay for drinking water, and less than 3 percent of what residents of San Francisco pay.

What does this mean?  It means that farmers can grow crops in regions where those crops wouldn’t normally grow because it’s too dry.  But because they are getting water at less than the market rate, these farming practices are continued and water is going where it wouldn’t otherwise go.

The lesson is simple, if you want there to be a 6-pak of Coke at the local Wal-Mart, you better hope that it’s expensive enough to be there.

OJT: On the Job Training

Barack Obama.

You know it’s bad when the far left begins to give you economic advice:

Liberal Democratic lawmakers, including the Congressional Black Caucus, are unhappy with the Obama administration’s pace of efforts tackling the unemployment rate, which is a whopping 10.2 percent and expected to rise.

The CBC, in particular, say Obama officials have not done enough to address the severe economic problems in the black community. Rep. Maxine Waters, D-Calif, reportedly issued a warning Wednesday that the 43 members of the caucus are planning to vote with the GOP to derail a number of Democratic bills if it isn’t addressed.

However bad it is for Obama this, at least, is encouraging:

Labor support is more in favor of funding labor projects, in terms of public works, putting more money into the states and cities but the White House is concerned about the deficit.

Finally.

California: Part II

A lot of talk going on about projections and what ifs.  So much so, that for many of us, we begin to lose sight of  “what is” within the forest of  theoretical science.  Sometimes, really, a picture is simply worth a thousand words.  Or maybe, a picture is not having to read a thousand words.

Who get's it? Who doesn't.

Why, you may ask, is the unemployment rate so much higher in California than in Texas?

What’s the worst state to do business in? According to readers of Chief Executive magazine, it’s California. In the same poll, Texas won first place as the best state in which to put your headquarters. As reported in The Economist, the two largest states in the nation have very different philosophies and very different success rates.

The article goes on to mention why Texas is doing a better job:

  1. Texans on average believe in laissez-faire markets with an emphasis on individual responsibility.  Since the ’80s, California’s policy-makers have favored central planning solutions and a reliance on a government social safety net.
  2. Californians have largely treated environmentalism as a “religious sacrament” rather than as one component among many in maximizing people’s quality of life.
  3. California has placed “ethnic diversity” above “assimilation,” while Texas has done the opposite.
  4. Texas has focused on streamlining the regulatory and litigation burden on its residents.  Meanwhile, California’s government has attempted to use regulation and litigation to transfer wealth from its creators to various special-interest constituencies.

The whole article is an awesome read as a “how to guide” for planners.  It would be great if Barack Obama would read it.

Hat Tip Mark Perry and Rick Perry

Politics: Always the Same

The new members of the Wake County school board were sworn in last night.  Immediately changes began to take place.  And yet for all the change that was occurring, sadly, it all remained very much the same.

Before a packed, mostly hostile audience, the new group made ad hoc additions of major items to the agenda. That drew heated public comment from those opposed to the newcomers’ actions, a shocked reaction from members who now make up the board minority and a walkout by a group representing Wake teachers.

I feel like I’ve been punched in the mouth,” said Keith Sutton, a member representing East Raleigh.

Nothing to See Here; Move on

This time, instead of the families supporting neighborhood schools feeling left out, it’s the families supporting the diversity policy that are feeling left out.  Nothing, really, has changed; only that the other team has the ball and is driving.

One of the complaints against the old board was the fact that they often wouldn’t reach out to the public on policy issues:

The board quickly took up the district’s diversity policy, which uses busing to ensure balanced populations at each school. Once based on race, those calculations have relied on the poverty of students’ families since 2000.

However, no copies of the proposal on changing the diversity policy were given to members of the public before they were voted on. Instead, an overhead projector showed a copy with the phrase “creating and maintaining a diverse student body” with a line through it. The move to change the policy was sent to committee.

Apparently the information was not only withheld from the public, but from some of the board members as well:

“I like to study the things that I am going to vote on, but this is an unusual evening,” said member Anne McLaurin, a member of the board’s new minority. “I find this an interesting proposal, but I don’t feel prepared to vote on it without further information.”

Said ousted chair Kevin Hill about the last-minute resolutions: “To me this is a process that is very new to the school board, where essentially half the members are not privy to information prior to the meeting.”

And the battle between board and public is still very much of a “We vs. They” kind of thing; complete with threats:

“Please be quiet or we’re going to ask you to leave,” Margiotta told the audience. “Don’t make an arena out of us.”

When Margiotta’s remarks drew laughs, he threatened to ask security to make the crowd leave.

Look, there are a LOT of things that a school board can impact and I really am hopeful that this new board can make improvements.  Obviously, when it comes to strategies I am in favor of anything that encourages strong fiscal restraint.  I support any attempt to weaken organized teacher unions or representation organizations.  I like merit based pay for teachers.  But to be honest, the overwhelming issue that faces this board has been the combination of the Diversity Policy and the Year Round schooling; both of which I am in favor of.

Clearly something new occurred at last night’s meeting.  But just as clearly, nothing changed.

Don't Be a Turkey: Czar

Really.  All ya’ll.  Just get out of the way and let people make decisions that reflect their best interests.  If you do that, wonderful wonderful things will happen.  All by themselves!

Like in previous years, you probably didn’t call your local supermarket ahead of time and order your Thanksgiving turkey this year. Why not? Because you automatically assumed that a turkey would be there when you showed up, and it probably was there when you showed up “unannounced” at the grocery store to select your bird.

The reason your Thanksgiving turkey was waiting for you without an advance order? Because of “spontaneous order,” “self-interest,” and the “invisible hand” of the free market – “the mysterious power that leads innumerable people, each working for his own gain, to promote ends that benefit many.” And even if your turkey appeared in your local grocery stores only because of the “selfishness” or “corporate greed” of thousands of turkey farmers, truckers, and supermarket owners who are complete strangers to you and your family, it’s still part of the miracle of the marketplace where “individually selfish decisions lead to collectively efficient outcomes.”

The entire process of raising turkeys for slaughter is timed so that a huge demand is met with a huge supply, but not TOO much of a supply.  And nobody, not even ONE body, is in charge of making it so.

Color Me Shocked

Or, wherein North Carolina looks like Minnesota.  It would appear that a Government entitlement program is way over budget:

The government health insurance program for low-income children, older adults and the disabled is at least $150 million over budget through the first quarter of the fiscal year.

The best part?  The best part isn’t that we are over budget.  I mean really, how could a government program really be expected to come in under budget?  Nope, the best part is that we are over by $150 million THROUGH THE FIRST QUARTER!

Part of the reason we are so far over?

About half of the cost overruns are because of delays in federal approval of some cuts proposed by the state Department of Health and Human Services to save money.

Yup.  In order to save money we have to cut services [ only a foretaste of the Obamacare feast to come ] and then we are delayed even in doing that because one government bureaucracy can’t communicate with another in a timely manner.