Tag Archives: Democrat

Senate Race 2010: XI

Posted on September 24, 2010 | 1 comment

Time for some status. All the big primaries are over and we know who is running against who.

First, the Retiring Democrats:

State	Status	Democrat	Republican	Incumbent	Front Runner	Spread
CT	Ret. Dem	Blumenthal	McMahon	Democrat	Democrat	7.5
DE	Ret. Dem	Coons	O’Donnell	Democrat	Democrat	15
IL	Ret. Dem	Giannoulias	Kirk	Democrat	Republican	1
IN	Ret. Dem	Ellsworth	Coats	Democrat	Republican	16
ND	Ret. Dem	Heitkamp	Hoeven	Democrat	Republican	27

I think we lost Delaware. And that’s okay. We weren’t going to take the Senate and this sent a message to the Republican establishment; Come big or Stay Home.

From my count, we moved from taking 4 to only taking 3.

The next group is the retiring Republicans. The only news of note is that Florida is steadily moving away from I-Crist to R-Rubio. One for the good guys:

State	Status	Democrat	Republican	Incumbent	Front Runner	Spread
FL	Ret. Rep	Crist	Rubio	Republican	Republican	10
KS	Ret. Rep			Republican	Republican
KY	Ret. Rep	Conway	Paul	Republican	Republican	7
MO	Ret. Rep	Carnahan	Blunt	Republican	Republican	5.5
NH	Ret. Rep	Hodes	Ayotte	Republican	Republican	6.4
OH	Ret. Rep	Fisher	Portman	Republican	Republican	13.3

We lose 0.

The biggie. This is the one that counts; Term Limited Democrats. In my mind, we move from taking 4 to taking 5. Ohio went our way.

State	Status	Democrat	Republican	Incumbent	Front Runner	Spread
AR	Term Dem	Lincoln	Boozman	Democrat	Republican	25
CA	Term Dem	Boxer	Fiorina	Democrat	Democrat	5.5
CO	Term Dem	Bennet	Buck	Democrat	Republican	2.4
HI	Term Dem			Democrat	Democrat
MD	Term Dem			Democrat	Democrat
NV	Term Dem	Reid	Angle	Democrat	Democrat	0.5
NY	Term Dem	Gillibrand	Blakeman	Democrat	Democrat	6
NY	Term Dem			Democrat	Democrat
OR	Term Dem	Wyden	Huffman	Democrat	Democrat	16
PA	Term Dem	Sestak	Toomey	Democrat	Republican	6.8
VE	Term Dem			Democrat	Democrat
WA	Term Dem	Murray	Rossi	Democrat	Democrat	6.2
WI	Term Dem	Feingold	Johnson	Democrat	Republican	8

Now, I admit, I AM ASSUMING that we win one of the three: New York, California or Nevada. BIG assumption. But that’s 5 to the good.

And the Term Limited Republicans? The news is so good I’m not even going to post it! We lose 0. Not even close.

That means I have the Republicans picking up 8 in the Senate. That moves us from 59-41 to 51-49.

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Posted in Elections 2010, Politics: National, Senate

Tagged Democrat, Politics, Republican

New Government Policy

Posted on September 13, 2010 | 2 comments

Quick, no googlly-ogglly-Google.

What nation said this:

X-Nation announced on Monday it would lay off “at least” half a million state workers over the next six months and simultaneously allow more jobs to be created in the private sector as the socialist economy struggles to get back on its feet.

“Our state cannot and should not continue maintaining companies, productive entities and services with inflated payrolls and losses that damage our economy and result counterproductive, create bad habits and distort workers’ conduct,”

…the government “agreed to broaden the exercise of self employment and its use as another alternative for the employment of those excess workers.”

Continue reading →

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Posted in Economics, Economy, Politics: International, Politics: National

Tagged Barack Obama, Capitalism, Cuba, Democrat, Free Market, Left, Leftist, Liberal, Socialism

Listening to the Left

Posted on August 28, 2010 | Leave a comment

So, alright. I’m guilty.

I listen to the Right. Except for my morning commute, where I listen to Brad and Britt, I get my radio and TV from the Right. My news, I get from more main stream sources; Economist, Reuters, CNBC, Wall Street Journal and NY Times.

But when I watch or listen, it’s from the Right.

So I started watching Maddow.

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Posted in Elections 2010, Liberty, National

Tagged Conservative, Democrat, Liberal, Rachel Maddow, Republican

News Outlet vs. Communication Department

Posted on August 20, 2010 | Leave a comment

I suspect the media is much like everyone else; you get on board a winner.

For example, a study found that while it may appear that money wins elections, it’s really a winner that wins money.

But they dispute the commonly held assumption that the spending causes the win. Instead they point out that anticipated win – or possible win – will often attract the campaign money. When candidates obtain large amounts of money it is usually because they are seen to be the best candidate or the one mostly likely to win. Based on Levitt’s study of campaign spending by the same candidates against the same competitors over decades of US congressional elections, it was found that ‘the amount of money spent by the candidates hardly matters at all. A winning candidate can cut his spending in half and lose only 1% of the vote. Meanwhile, a losing candidate who doubles his spending can expect to shift the vote in his favor by only that same 1%’. The Freakonomics authors conclude that campaign spending has a very small impact on election outcomes, regardless of who does the spending.

To expect the media top act any better is, well, perhaps unfair.

But jeez…

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Posted in Elections 2010, National

Tagged Abuse of Power, California, Democrat, House of Representatives, Leftist, Main Stream Media, Politics

Senate Race 2010: VIII

Posted on August 8, 2010 | Leave a comment

I have updated the races here.

Without going into details, I have the Republicans picking up 7 seats and holding 48 seats. To be sure I have my bias.

So, to see how people who actually “put their money where their mouth is” I went to Intrade.

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Posted in Elections 2010, Politics: National, Senate

Tagged Democrat, Politics, Republican

How to Positively Affect Health Care Costs

Posted on August 3, 2010 | 2 comments

Just this afternoon I experienced a classic fundamental of economics: Consumption.

I had lunch at a pizza buffet. All the pizza and soda I could consume for the low low price of eight dollars American. of course I had to render to Caesar, so it REALLY was about $8.50, but I digress.

At some point I pushed away from the table satisfied; I was fat dumb and happy. Full.

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Posted in Economics, Health Care, Politics: National

Tagged Abuse of Power, Barack Obama, Democrat, Leftist, North Carolina Politics, Politics, Socialism

Senate Race 2010: VII

Posted on August 2, 2010 | 1 comment

Been awhile. As predicted, the races are gelling, firming up. There are run a ways and there are tight races. In some cases the candidates have swapped front-runner position. Here is the rundown:

State	Circumstance	Democrat	Republican	Incumbent	Front Runner	Spread
CT	Retiring Dem	Blumenthal	McMahon	Democrat	Democrat	16.3
DE	Retiring Dem	Coons	Castle	Democrat	Republican	11
IL	Retiring Dem	Giannoulias	Kirk	Democrat	Democrat	1.7
IN	Retiring Dem	Ellsworth	Coats	Democrat	Republican	21
ND	Retiring Dem	Heitkamp	Hoeven	Democrat	Republican	27

This is an interesting group. And only because we are seeing a much tighter race in Illinois than folks anticipated. The reason? This is Barack Obama’s seat; the Dems can NOT afford to lose this one. They are pouring it on. My prediction? They lose it.

+4 to the Republicans

State	Circumstance	Democrat	Republican	Incumbent	Front Runner
FL	Retiring Rep	Crist	Rubio	Republican	Independent
KS	Retiring Rep			Republican	Republican
KY	Retiring Rep	Conway	Paul	Republican	Republican
MO	Retiring Rep	Carnahan	Blunt	Republican	Republican
NH	Retiring Rep	Hodes	Republican	Republican	Republican
OH	Retiring Rep	Fisher	Portman	Republican	Democrat

This one has stayed stable. Ohio remains a wild card but so does Florida. I stay with my original prediction that the Dems take a seat/

-1 to the Republicans.

State	Circumstance	Democrat	Republican	Incumbent	Front Runner	Spread
AR	Term Dem	Lincoln	Boozman	Democrat	Republican	25
CA	Term Dem	Boxer	Fiorina	Democrat	Democrat	4.4
CO	Term Dem	Bennet	Norton	Democrat	Republican	6
HI	Term Dem			Democrat	Democrat
MD	Term Dem			Democrat	Democrat
NV	Term Dem	Reid	Angle	Democrat	Democrat	1.6
NY	Term Dem	Gillibrand	Blakeman	Democrat	Democrat	17.7
NY	Term Dem			Democrat	Democrat
OR	Term Dem	Wyden	Huffman	Democrat	Democrat	17
PA	Term Dem	Sestak	Toomey	Democrat	Republican	2
VE	Term Dem			Democrat	Democrat
WA	Term Dem	Murray	Rossi	Democrat	Democrat	2
WI	Term Dem	Feingold	Johnson	Democrat	Republican	2

And then this group; crazy! Washington and Wisconsin are in the mix. And Nevada is back in play. I no longer think the Dems will split Colorado and Pennsylvania; the Republicans will take ’em both. Nevada back in play with Wisconsin and Washington? Repubs get one of ’em.

Republicans +4

And the termed Repubs? No chance for the Democrats to steal one.

Final score? Republicans +7. 52-48.

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Posted in Elections 2010, Politics: National, Senate

Tagged Democrat, Republican

Republicans Can Be Leftists Too: Part II

Posted on July 26, 2010 | Leave a comment

Continuing on the theme that Republicans Can Be Leftists Too is the latest installment. And the guilty party? None other than the Left’s favorite bloviator Sean Hannity.

I have been late in posting on this topic, and really, I should have been on top of it from the time it hit.