Category Archives: Health Care

Hot Stove League

The Twins traded Carlos Gomez to the Brewers for J.J. Hardy on Friday.  The thinking in the Twins front office is that they were able to move out weak hitting center fielder and bring in a short stop that can hit for power and has a decent average.  Further, Hardy is a fantastic fielder bringing an elite defender to the Twins infield.

This is a good deal.

twins

The Democrats would have us believe the same is true of the trade they made this past Saturday.  What they have passed in the house is a trade of sorts.  The thinking in the minds of the Democrats is that we are able to get rid of a system that costs too much and leaves too many people uninsured.  By passing laws that prohibit insurance companies from denying coverage based on pre-existing conditions they are able to bring in a system that allows for insurance to everyone.  Further, to help bring down costs to those most in need, the plan calls for all Americans to enroll in an approved policy or face a fine.

This is a good deal.

Back to baseball.  I began to look a little deeper into the trade and began to see a couple of things.  By moving Gomez out and brining in Hardy, not only did we trade away a .229 average for a player that hit .283 in 2008.  Further, Brady hit 24 HR to 3 for Gomez.  On top of that, with Gomez out of the lineup the Twins now have room for Delmon Young who has a career average of .290.  Not only are we trading for a player with 57 some odd points to the plus, we are also able to play Young for a full season.

This is turning into a REALLY good deal.

On top of the fact that insurance companies are no longer able to restrict insurance for people with pre-existing conditions the House bill doesn’t raise taxes for a majority of Americans.  Rather, people making $500,000 or more would see a 5.4% increase on their tax bill.  Further, those “Gold Plated” policies would see a tax hike; up to 40%.  But for the average middle class American, the tax bill remains the same.  On top of that, the bill includes language that allows families making up to 400% of the poverty level to receive federal assistance; albeit on a sliding scale.  Last, if you currently receive insurance from your employer, you can continue to do so.  Or, if you don’t, there will be a National Exchange.

This is turning into a REALLY good deal.

As I wrap up my trade analysis, I end up with the unintended consequences.  By trading away Carlos Gomez, the Twins center fielder, the team must now play Denard Span in CF.  And THAT means with Span in center, Delmon Young has to play in left field.  Now, when the Twins had Gomez in CF and Young in LF, they were able to brag the best OF in baseball.  But, with the unintended consequence of Span in center and Young in left, the Twins will now be  start the worst OF in baseball; to the tune of 88 runs to the bad.  That doesn’t even come close to the benefit they gain by adding Hardy to the team.

The unintended consequence of a horrible defense has made this trade:  BAD.

Sadly, the story is much the same for the Democrats and the House bill.  By allowing people to purchase insurance without regard for pre-existing conditions, people are not compelled to purchase insurance while they are healthy; they can be assured that they can buy it when they become sick.  But-but-but, they HAVE to buy a policy or they will pay a fine!  Well, the fine is very very much less than whatever policy I would otherwise buy:

The average cost of an insurance policy with family coverage in 2009 is $13,375. A married couple with a median family income of $75,000 who choose not to insure would be subject to a fine of 2.5 percent of that $75,000, or $1,875. So the family would save a net $11,500 by not insuring.

Hmm, the unintended consequences of horrible incentives has made this trade:  BAD.

results

The Future is Now

This is what Obama thinks is better:

Raleigh, N.C. — Wake County officials have temporarily closed the county’s H1N1 vaccine clinics due to a depleted supply of the vaccine.

To be fair, Wake County is reporting:

“While the five Wake County H1N1 clinics that opened this morning have run out of vaccine, many physicians and pharmacies in our community do have vaccine available.” said Wake County Community Health Director Sue Lynn Ledford.

And here comes more news of tomorrow:

The closure started at 4 p.m. after the county distributed more than 6,000 doses of the vaccine at five clinics.

Karen North waited in line two hours to get her sons vaccinated at the Public Health Center, G-35, 10 Sunnybrook Road in Raleigh, on Monday.

Can you say Soviet bread lines?

Soviet Bread Line

Are they waiting for bread or medicine?

And the most chilling part?

“At this point, we are just trying to prioritize and get those patients who would benefit from it the most right now,” said Dr. Sharmell Wilson, of Growing Child Pediatrics.

You can ration by price or you can ration by fiat.

What Have We Become

Stumbled across a letter to Joe Lieberman tonight over at American Hatriotism today.  It’s awesome.  Basically you have someone over there talking about how awful, simply AWFUL, Mr. Lieberman is for coming out against the health care bill.  After a WHOLE bunch of discussion on the fact, we get to the point where a letter is penned and delivered to the Senator’s office.  I’ve captured all I could stand the beginning and then added my response to it.  If ya want, stop on over the Hatriotism and see if the comment got any action:

Dear Mr. Lieberman,

Do you sleep well while …..

so many Americans struggle to bear the pain and anguish they are experiencing today?

Far be it that people ought to struggle.

somewhere in America a hard working student finds out there is no means, no money, no way to college?

Is that hard-working student willing to work hard at a job?

a mother and father are struggling to provide the bare necessities for their disabled child?

Good bless then for being able to supply the necessities for their child; disabled or not.

an elderly man who fought for his country eats a can of beans for dinner and must dress in several layers of clothing because he can not afford a decent meal or to heat his meager home?

We thank him for his service; service to ensure that we are all free.  Free to be responsible.  Or not to be responsible.

a Mother over-medicates her baby with tylenol for his earache because she can not take him to the urgent care or doctor for treatment?

She should take the bay to urgent care or the doctor for treatment.

a family will huddle in the cold behind a dumpster to block the wind because they have nowhere else to go?

Before they go to the government, they should go to church.

a husband and wife lie in bed discussing how to break it to their children that they will soon lose their home and have to move?

The tender mercies of learning not to borrow money you can’t afford to pay back.

a couple that saved thousands for a home they will now lose when the bank takes it away?

This should be sent to Senator Frank actually.

a father tells his family he has lost his job and they can no longer count on him to take care of them?

A real father would say that he has lost his job and will do whatever it takes to take care of them.  Even if it means working 3 others.

a mother tells her children there isn’t anything left in the house to eat?

How many different ways can you say the same thing?

another father wonders how many more days, weeks, months before he will work again and worries how they’ll make it until then?

Jeez.

The whole rest of your letter is the same point on and on and on.

And the real tragedy?  Passing a law isn’t going to change any of that.

About as Good as You Could Hope For

I posted yesterday about a North Carolina Democrat that was going to vote against the health care bill; and he did.  I also mentioned that we needed Heath Shuler; and we got him.  The ones we missed I knew we were going to miss.

  • G.K. Butterfield, District 1
  • Bob Etheridge, District 2
  • David Price, District 4
  • Mel Watt, District 12
  • Brad Miller, District 13

Those that voted against:

This dog of a bill made its way through the House but will have a much tougher way finding its way through the Senate.  First, it has to get 60 votes to prevent a filibuster and I don’t think it will get that.  The Senator from Connecticut seems to have committed that he will not support the bill.  Further, there are several Democrats that are more fiscally conservative than others, and they may save the day.  Further, thhe vote in Virginia and in Jersey may be weighing on these guy’s minds; American’s don’t want this thing.

I LIKE This Guy

I just finished a post about Minnesota Democrats being split on the health care bill.  Good for them.  Then I lamented the fact that they just be holding out for more “what’s in it for them.”  Shame on them.

Note to Minnesota Democrats; THIS is how ya git’er done!

WASHINGTON — North Carolina Rep. Mike McIntyre has announced that he will vote against a $1.2 trillion health-care bill in the House of Representatives, saying that reform needs to fiscally responsible and done in targeted steps.

Not only is McIntyre standing up for what is fiscally sound, but he is doing it at significant risk to his standing within the Democratic party:

President Barack Obama met with Democratic lawmakers in closed-door meetings Saturday to woo last-minute commitments.

I like the use of the word “woo.”

But even more than this, Rep. McIntyre actually articulates his reasons.  And these aren’t the normal crappy politician speak we normally hear from these folks:

  • The bill “costs way too much – more than $1 trillion dollars on top of a $12 trillion national debt.”
  • It doesn’t address long-term health costs.
  • It raises too many taxes and includes new requirements “that will harm the ability of too many small businesses to compete and create jobs.”
  • “It tries to do too much too soon, instead of targeted changes that can immediately help people.”

Republicans should grab this guy and thank him for the two gifts he has delivered:

  • Voting against this bill.
  • Publicizing the Conservative’s objections to this bill better than Conservatives.

Now all we have to do is work on Rep. Heath Shuler.

You Had Me at "Split": Until You Didn't

Apparently the Minnesota delegation of Democrat Congressmen are split on the health care bill being considered this afternoon:

Firmly in favor: McCollum and Walz; may vote “yes”: Oberstar and Ellison; solid “no”: Peterson

I am relatively surprised.  Minnesota is a hugely Democratic state.  Perhaps this is due to the fact that there is a significant amount of agricultural population as well as a high ratio of teachers.  However, even with that said, Minnesota is one of the States that is fighting the Federal takeover of health care.

But, but.  Politicians simply can STOP being politicians:

“It can be a smart strategy for members to hold out until the last minute to support their party’s legislation because they might be able to extract something from this,” said Kathryn Pearson, political science professor at the University of Minnesota.

Sigh.  What are we to do?

Infant Mortality Rate

The race is on.  Health Care reform’s time has come-or gone.  Whatever side you come down on, the debate is intense.  And so it has been with friends and colleagues of mine.  One one side you have those that claim the United States spends more money per year on health care and has one of the worst systems in the industrial world.  On the other side you have the opposite.  These people admit that while we may spend more than any other nation on health care this claim would be equally true of expenditures on blue jeans, pro sporting tickets, aquariums, X-boxes and lawn mowers.  Further, rather than being one of the worst providers of medical care, these folks would argue that the Unites States delivers the best care in the world.

Who is right?  Let’s go to the data.  I am going to focus on the infant mortality rate – IMR.  Those who champion universal health care claim that the United States ranks 30th in the world in IMR.  A quick check shows that indeed, we do:

IMR Ranking

Further, they claim that infant mortality rate is an indicator of health care services in a country.  For this to be true, three conditions must be met:

  1. All nations are reporting their numbers correctly/consistently.
  2. The infants that are dying are of the same type.
  3. Factors other than medical services are being accounted for.

Consistency in Reporting

We know for a fact that not all nations count the infant mortality rate the same.   In the United States, we use the WHO definition:

Live birth refers to the complete expulsion or extraction from its mother of a product of conception, irrespective of the duration of the pregnancy, which, after such separation, breathes or shows any other evidence of life – e.g. beating of the heart, pulsation of the umbilical cord or definite movement of voluntary muscles – whether or not the umbilical cord has been cut or the placenta is attached. Each product of such a birth is considered live born.

In Europe, for example, they use a different definition:  [see page 122]

The infant mortality rate is defined as the number of infant deaths (days 0-364) after live birth at or
after 22 completed weeks of gestation in a given year, expressed per 1000 live births in the same
year.

And yet, even this definition is not standard across the European Countries: [see page 122]

Almost all countries provided data on overall infant mortality rates. However, many fewer were able to provide data on infant mortality rates by gestational age or birth weight, since infant deaths are registered in separate systems and not linked to perinatal data. These data were available for gestational age only from Flanders and Brussels in Belgium, Denmark, Estonia, Latvia, Malta, Austria, Poland, Finland, Sweden, the UK, and Norway.

This means, of course, that for countries like Portugal, France, Belgium, Greece, Germany, Spain, Switzerland, Austria, Italy and the Netherlands the method for counting don’t abide to even the less restrictive definition that the rest of the EU uses.  And all of these countries rank higher than the United Sates in the ranking by the CDC.  Further, the United States actually OVER reports the live births and subsequent deaths.

What happens when adjustments are made for these differences?

Norway boasts one of the lowest infant mortality rates in the world. But when the main determinant of mortality — weight at birth — is factored in, Norway has no better survival rates than the United States.

Which Infants Are Dying

The reason for the death is important in measuring IMR as well.  If, for example, there is an indicator that results in a much larger IMR than another, and that indicator is present in one population but not another, that would explain a difference in the two IMR rankings.  One of the first things that we should look at in determining if these IMR rankings are accurate is to identify if such in indicator exists.  And it does:

In 2004, the U.S. infant mortality rate (excluding births at less than 22 weeks of gestation) was 5.8, nearly twice the rate of 3.0 for Sweden, one of the two European countries with the lowest infant mortality rate (along with Norway).

Using direct standardization (10), we applied the U.S. gestational-age specific infant mortality rates to Sweden’s distribution of births by gestational age. If the United States had Sweden’s distribution of births by gestational age, the U.S. infant mortality rate (excluding births at less than 22 weeks of gestation) would go from 5.8 to 3.9 infant deaths per 1,000 live births—a decline of 33%.

US adjusted

In fact, if we use the numbers above, and just the numbers above, the US moves from its current ranking of 30th to a ranking of 12; tied with Germany.  And this does not even include the adjustments that certainly would move many of those countries 1-11 even lower.

And how does the US rank in Preterm Birth Percentage?

Preterm Rate

We rank among the highest in the world.  The ranking that WHO and the CDC and the CIA report are now, perhaps, showing a different story.  They may not be showing a picture of the medical delivery service in America for infants, rather, they may be showing that America delivers far more Preterm babies than the rest of the world.  Or, or, that we REPORT more preterm live births than the rest of the world.  If even one of these two statistics were reported, the US would jump either near the very top or would move up 18 spots on the list.

Non-medical Factors

Lastly, when looking at the IMR as an indicator on the medical delivery, or health care, system, it is equally important to look into factors that contribute to IMR that have nothing to do with that system.  And again, we see that there are such factors:

IMR by Race

It jumps out of the page; black babies dies at a higher rate than any other followed by Hawaiian and Native American.  And why the discrepancy in black women?

the largest difference in rates between the two groups was for preterm birth/low birthweight infants— infants born to Black women had an infant death rate due to preterm birth/low birthweight four times higher than those born to White women.

LBW by race
And why are we seeing black women delivering babies with such low birthrates?  Two possible reasons:

One reason African-American mothers have babies who weigh less at birth is that they are at greater risk for such conditions as high blood pressure and preeclampsia.

And the other:

Also, minority women are subject to stress caused by perceived racial discrimination, the researchers said.

David and Collins spoke with black women who had babies with normal weights at birth, comparing them with black women whose babies’ birth weight was very low — under three pounds.

They asked the mothers if they had ever been treated unfairly because of their race when looking for a job, in an educational setting or in other situations.

Those who felt discriminated against had a twofold increase in low birth weights. And for those who experienced discrimination in three “domains,” the increase was nearly threefold.

In David and Collins’ study of black women who gave birth in two Chicago hospitals, 16 percent said their partner was in jail during the pregnancy.

“We interpreted this finding as another indicator of stress, but one caused by institutional rather than interpersonal racial discrimination,” David said.

Net/net, the United States has work to do.  We have whole groups of people who need to be served.  There are improvements that can be made.  But the raw statistic showing that the United States has such a low IMR is simply not accurate.  And where it is accurate, it can be explained in large part, to conditions that may have nothing to do with medical service delivery.

In fact, the US has reason to shout out to our medical system:

Since 2000, 42 of the world’s 52 surviving babies weighing less than 400g (0.9 lbs.) were born in the United States.

Where Brad and Britt Have it Wrong

I was listening to the Brad and Britt show this morning on my way to work.  The show was dominated by Rep Foxx’ comments regarding terrorism and the health care bill.   And, prolly as it should, the discussion turned back to the whole health care debate in general.  The old, should we or shouldn’t we thing concerning health care.  Now don’t get me wrong.  I love me some health care debate.  Not at all.  But what killed me was Britt’s comment:

Look, these people are already going to the emergency room and we’re paying for that.  We might as well insure them, use the power of numbers to reduce the cost, so that we all save money!

I wonder if he would say this:

Look, we are buying these people food and clothing.  We’re sending them checks every month.  We may as well take some of their paycheck early in life, invest it for them so that when they need it, they can have it later in life!

My guess.  He wouldn’t.  Which is why I call bullshit.

We all have Liberty given to us.  We can make choices or not make choices.  The consequences are there to be had.  Either you are for protecting that Liberty or you are not.

Brad and Britt are not.  They are political hacks making a buck off the radio.

Pure.

And.

Simple.

This Is What It Will Look Like

A foretaste of the feast too come:

LOS ANGELES – It was bound to happen: Some people who aren’t at high risk for swine flu complications got the much-in-demand vaccine.

Sometimes they were healthy adults or senior citizens instead of kids, pregnant women and people with health problems.

Before Los Angeles County health officials stepped up screening at their flu clinics, Natalie Thompson sailed through the long line and got the vaccine along with her 8-year-old son, even though she’s not in one of the priority groups.

“If I can get it, I’m not gonna say no,” said Thompson, 35, of Hollywood Hills.

Another mom, Katy Radparvar, didn’t say no either.

“Our doctor doesn’t have it yet,” said the 41-year-old woman who was vaccinated along with her three children at a public health vaccination site in suburban Encino last week.

Public health officials don’t want to be vaccine police. Many don’t turn anyone away who wants the vaccine, though some locations are tougher than others.

“For many this is a frustrating process and we really sympathize with those who show up at a clinic and can’t get vaccinated,” said Los Angeles County public health director Dr. Jonathan Fielding.

Across the country, thousands have waited in line and many have been turned away, as manufacturers have trickled out the slow-to-produce vaccine. Things are improving, and now about 25 million doses are available, the government says.

Aware of scant supplies up front, Santa Barbara County clinics administered their 4,400 shots to pregnant women only. San Diego County is only immunizing those on the priority list, but is taking the word of residents.

Look, it’s simple.  Like anything in this world, there is never enough of it to satisfy everyone’s desire for it at full capacity.  That is, if free, there would never be enough Coke, gasoline, tennis shoes or hair brushes.  Medical care is the same.  And when organizing a nation, that fact should not escape anyone; especially the leaders.  The hard thing to acknowledge is that we know people will get sick.  Some people will die.

The good news is that medical technology will continue to hum along generating new and better services and techniques that will cure or heal people today that a mere five years ago would have been fatal.  And you simply HAVE to take solace in that.

Canadacare in Action

Think the Government can handle health care?  Check again.

“The model predicts that there will be a significant wave in autumn, with 63% of the population being infected, and that this wave will peak so early that the planned [U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention] vaccination campaign will likely not have a large effect on the total number of people ultimately infected by the pandemic H1N1 influenza virus,”

You know what that means?

The authors said that this is the week, through Oct. 24, during which the greatest number of people would be infected. The vaccination program has barely started in the U.S.

“The model predicts that the peak wave of infection will occur near the end of October in week 42, with 8% of the population being infected during that week. By the end of 2009, the model predicts that a total of 63% of the population will have been infected,” the authors wrote in a conclusion that ignored the effects of a CDC vaccination program.

In other words, we are too late.  The flu will hit well before the country will get the vaccine.  Awesome.  But there IS good news:

Canada is in a much more dire straits on vaccination, Ms. Towers noted in her interview, because of relative slowness of the country’s equivalent of the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) to approve the vaccine.

“They are more cautious and conservative and sitting on at least 1 million doses waiting for delivery. They won’t begin vaccination until the first week of November,”

So, while the US Government is too slow and ultimately ineffectual, we can rest assured that Canada is worse.

Awesome.  Go Obama!