Tag Archives: Hurricane

Hurricane Update: September Review

Jeepers.

We had more named storms in September than we had all year up to that point.

For those of you keeping track at home we’re at:

  • Named Storms – 14
  • Hurricanes – 7
  • Major Hurricanes – 5

The prediction for the year was most recently updated to:

  • 14 – 20 Named Storms
  • 8 – 12 Hurricanes
  • 4 – 6 Major Hurricanes

By the end of September the prediction called for:

  • 5 – 7 Named Storms
  • 3 – 4 Hurricanes
  • 2 – 3 Major Hurricanes

We are virtually at the full year’s predictions with all of October and November left.

Looks like they were right and I was wrong.

Hurricane Season: Update

Wowie wow wow!

Here comes the storms.

Igor went from baby to monster just like that.  And behind him is tropical storm Julia.

That puts us at:

  • Named storms – 10
  • Hurricanes – 4
  • Major Hurricanes – 3
  • Landfall – 0

Right about now, we should have expected to see 7-10 named storms with 4-6 hurricanes.

Right on track.

Hurricane Update: September 9

Say good morning to Tropical Storm Igor.  He formed off the coast of Africa and is very VERY far from the US mainland.

However, for those keeping score, this puts us at:

  • 9 named storms
  • 3 Hurricanes
  • 2 Major Hurricanes
  • 0 Landfalls

The Prediction:

  • 14-20 named storms
  • 8-12 Hurricanes
  • 4-6 Major Hurricanes

We’re on pace it would seem.

Hurricane: Update

Remember, the latest prediction is:

The updated forecast calls for 14 to 20 named tropical storms.

And

Eight to 12 storms could become hurricanes, and four to six of those hurricanes could become major storms, blowing winds of 111 mph or more, forecasters said.

With that said, today’s development:

Tropical Storm Earl has formed in the open Atlantic Ocean, but the system is far from land.

Earl has maximum sustained winds of 40 mph (65 kph) and is expected to become a hurricane by Friday.

That means we have:

  • 5 Named Storms
  • 2 Hurricanes

By the end of August we should see:

  • 7-10 Named storms
  • 4-6 hurricanes

That means in the next 5 days we would need to see:

  • 2-5 Named storms
  • 2-4 hurricanes

I expect zero new named storms with 1 new hurricane; Earl.

Hurricane Season: Danielle

We now have the fourth named storm of the 2010 season:

MIAMI – Tropical Storm Danielle has formed in the Atlantic, but the system is still far from land.

Forecasters at the National Hurricane Center in Miami said Sunday that Danielle had maximum sustained winds of 40 mph (65 kph) and the storm is expected to strengthen over the next couple of days.

The National Hurricane Center recently revised their forecast to:

14 to 20 named tropical storms

The season runs from June through November; 6 months.  We are nearly finished with August; half way.  That means we should have seen 7-10 by now.  We’re at 4.

Hurricanes?

Eight to 12 storms could become hurricanes…

So far we have zero, we should be near 4-6 by now.

Stay tuned…

Hurricane Season: Update

In April I posted the National Hurricane Center’s 2010 predictions:

So, 15 named storms, 4 major himmicane’s and a 45% the US gets hit.

Then, in July I posted an update:

By the end of August, to stay on pace, we would need to see 5 or 6 named storms with 2 of them developing into severe hurricanes.

And now the Hurricane Center has revised their predictions:

The updated forecast calls for 14 to 20 named tropical storms, down from a range of 14 to 23. The hurricane season started June 1 and ends Nov. 30, but the peak period for hurricanes runs from August through October.

Eight to 12 storms could become hurricanes, and four to six of those hurricanes could become major storms, blowing winds of 111 mph or more, forecasters said.

Not much of a change at all.  However, that means we are on pace to see 11-17 named storms, 6-10 of which will become hurricanes and 4-6 of those becoming major storms before the season is over.

We’ll see.

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From My Lips…..

To God’s ear?

I hope not!

1 day after posting that we haven’t seen a bunch of himacanes we get this!

Still, pretty low chance that we’ll see a real storm.

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Hurricane Season: 2010 – July Review

June has come and gone.  July too.  Where are we with our hurricane prediction so far?

Let’s review.

If you remember, back in April we had the experts claim that we were due for 15 named storms with 4 of ’em becoming major hurricanes.

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Hurricane Season

It’s time.  Time for that annual prediction made by predictors.  And what they’re trying to predict is the hurricane season.  And to be honest, I feel sorry for ’em.

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