Remember, the latest prediction is:
The updated forecast calls for 14 to 20 named tropical storms.
Eight to 12 storms could become hurricanes, and four to six of those hurricanes could become major storms, blowing winds of 111 mph or more, forecasters said.
With that said, today’s development:
Tropical Storm Earl has formed in the open Atlantic Ocean, but the system is far from land.
Earl has maximum sustained winds of 40 mph (65 kph) and is expected to become a hurricane by Friday.
That means we have:
- 5 Named Storms
- 2 Hurricanes
By the end of August we should see:
- 7-10 Named storms
- 4-6 hurricanes
That means in the next 5 days we would need to see:
- 2-5 Named storms
- 2-4 hurricanes
I expect zero new named storms with 1 new hurricane; Earl.