So, 15 named storms, 4 major himmicane’s and a 45% the US gets hit.
Then, in July I posted an update:
By the end of August, to stay on pace, we would need to see 5 or 6 named storms with 2 of them developing into severe hurricanes.
The updated forecast calls for 14 to 20 named tropical storms, down from a range of 14 to 23. The hurricane season started June 1 and ends Nov. 30, but the peak period for hurricanes runs from August through October.
Eight to 12 storms could become hurricanes, and four to six of those hurricanes could become major storms, blowing winds of 111 mph or more, forecasters said.
Not much of a change at all. However, that means we are on pace to see 11-17 named storms, 6-10 of which will become hurricanes and 4-6 of those becoming major storms before the season is over.