Tag Archives: Housing

Because I Say It – It's True

I don’t understand why government feels the need to interject itself in the normal workings of a contract.  When I agree to have someone work on my yard, we enter into an agreement that they will provide the service and that I will pay the bill.  Similar, when I purchase goods over the internet, I enter into the same type of agreement.  basically, two parties are promising to trade and to pay according to that trade.  We both understand the implicit penalties associated with either of us defaulting.  either I won’t pay or they will take me to court.  Based on these promises and follow through by both parties, business is allowed to be conducted.

All of this can be done without involvement by the government.  Oh sure, we know it’s there.  We know that if we can’t resolve any conflict, one of us could be arrested and forced to appear in court.  And to that end, the government could send on officer of the law to our house or business to enforce that summons or judgment.  But in general, we expect the government to stay out of the normal execution of the contract.

So why, now, would the government insert itself into the normal functioning of a contract between parties?

The Consumer Economic Protection Act allows a clerk of court to continue a foreclosure hearing for up to 60 days. The delay would give a homeowner more time to work out a payment plan with the mortgage holder or service so the debtor can remain in the home.

For the life of me, I couldn’t understand why anyone would think that this was a good idea.  I tried looking at this from every angle I could think of and I didn’t see that this was solving any problem what so ever.  And then I read a little further:

“When a home is foreclosed, it’s bad for our families, it’s bad for our communities, it’s bad for our businesses, and it’s bad for North Carolina,” Perdue said. “This bill makes it easier for homeowners to work out a deal with their lenders and avoid foreclosure.”

And so there is was.  The Governor is not really trying to make the flow of business easier, she is trying to make re-election easier.   See, if we can give advantage to some group of people by punishing another group of people and that first group is larger or harder to otherwise control, the politician will always choose to provide that advantage.

That is not, however, to ignore the fact that this is BAD for the very people she is mentioning.  The stress of an impending foreclosure can take a huge toll on a family.  And really, what can happen in 60 days that will prevent the inevitable.?  Really, the family would be better served to go through the very well understood process of foreclosure and begin rebuilding as soon as possible.  And don’t forget, for every family that is foreclosed on, there is another family that will move into a new home.  And business?  How can the delay be good for business?  Lenders base their decision to lend on the fact that, in the event of non-payment, they can reclaim their risk.  This is preventing that process and will result in more expensive lending practices up front.

No, be very clear, this is not about helping businesses, this is about helping politics.

How to Get a Ton of People to Cross a Freeway

Incent them.

See, for a long time the whole housing crisis and economy things has been blamed on greed.  You know, greed of the bankers and the banks.  Greed of the mortgage lenders and the lending houses.  Greed on the folks thta bought and sold mortgage backed securities.  All of ’em.  all Street is just infested with greed.  [Note the absence of the greed of the home owner.  Cause’ you know, guys who earn 17k as a fry cook at the DQ aren’t being greedy when they try and buy a 400,000 dollar house.]

Never understood that.  I have always felt it’s supposed to be that way.  You know, like when I’m offered two similar jobs, I take the one that pays the most.  When trying to buy a car, I try to find the best price and then again, when given a chose between gas at $2.55 or gas at $2.85, I always pick the $2.55 price.  Always.  Never occurs to me who is more deserving.  IN fact, the only person I think of is me.  And how I benefit.  We’re all greedy.  And the whole thing depends on that.  It’s why we invent all the things that we invent.  Because we want to make money.  And because of that, we have innovations and quality of life increases and all kinds of progressive stuff.

Anyway, so, I have tried to explain it this way.  Suppose I have a hundred bucks that I wanna lend in order to make some money.  And two guys come to me wanting to borrow that money and then repay me $103.  Who am I going to lend it to?  Well, I am going to try to identify which one is better able and most likely to repay me.  Then I’m gonna lend the money to him.  Every time.  Every single time.  Always.  Not ever the other guy.  Ever.

Except.

Except if I can change the rules a little and shade gain along with risk.  That it, if I am able to enter into agreement on different terms, I may be willing to lend to the other guy.  What, you ask, would cause me to lend to the less qualified borrower?  Why, by increasing the return.  I may be willing to lend to the guy if he agrees to pay me back $115 dollars.  And so we negotiate and come to terms.  Note, however, that neither of us are going to agree to terms unless we think that it is in our best interest to do so.

Now, in this small example, can you think of a thing that would cause me to ignore the ability of the borrower to pay me back?  In other words, what would cause me to just loan that hundo out to EVERYBODY that knocked on my door?  Nothing.  I would never do that.  Ever.

Except.

Except if Ii could turn around and sell that loan to another company.  Now to compress the story…what would cause THAT company to buy these loans from lenders without knowledge of risk?  The same thing.  The ability to sell ’em.  And you know who was buyin?  Fannie and Freddie.  And you know why THEY were buyin’?  Cause they had NO downside.  If they as a company fail, the government would bail ’em out.  And they did and Uncle Sam did too.

So, I have always said that if you lined up 10,000 people on one side of I-540 and I was on the other, I could increase the number of people who tried to cross by increasing the financial incentive to do so.  And, in the end, whose fault would it be if someone was hit and killed?  Tricky huh?

But today, today I am vindicated.

They Will Never Learn

Okay, okay.  So I get it, I mean, who doesn’t?  In fact, who could miss it?  The whole world, literally, is in some form of economic downturn or another.  Much, if not all, of this can be laid at the feet of the real estate or housing bubble here in the United States.  It was, after all, the inflation of homes that caused banks and other lending institutions to over extend themselves and take on some really really bad investments.

Now, if you wanna get into any form of political blame game, you can.  Either it is the republicans for “de-regulation” or it’s the democrats for the Community Reinvestment Act.  Maybe it’s democrat ssenators refusing to reign in Frannie and Freddie.  Heck, maybe it’s republican senators failing to reign those guys in.  Whatever, the point is, some form of government “tampering” led the housing markets down the path they have taken.  And the result is, well, the result is where we are today.

So, the lesson?  The lesson, of course, is to just let stuff be.  Especially the housing markets!  Just don’t touch ’em right now!  For gawd’s sake, don’t touch ’em.

Right?

Anyone listening?

Cricket.  Cricket cricket.

Nope, they aren’t.  And here is the proof:

http://www.wral.com…

Paragraphs rendered:

A report being considered by Chatham County commissioners says that recent development trends have divided the county and priced people out of some areas.  In recent years, the eastern half of the county has seen a housing boom, with development springing up close to areas such as Cary and Chapel Hill. Meanwhile, experts say, the western portion of Chatham hasn’t seen that same growth.

This happens all the time.  Certain land areas experience higher growth than others.  As the demand for those land areas increases, that land becomes more expensive.  The county needed top study this?

“The homes that were being created were for people who were in a higher-income category,” Commissioner Carl Thompson said.

Ahh, well, maybe not.  Seems that that intuit what’s going on.  Good.

Real-estate broker Katy O’Leary said that weekly, she has to tell some customers that they can’t afford a home in the eastern part of the county. Home prices there run from $350,000 and up, she said.

I suspect the same is true of Jaguar dealers.  Some people can afford homes in expensive neighborhoods  Others can’t.

O’Leary said the disparity of housing prices has an easy explanation: “The dirt’s too expensive.”

High lot prices force developers to build mostly only higher-end homes, she said.

Amen sista’!  End lesson on Econ101.  Wait, what?  They aren’t happy with this?

We could “actually require developers, maybe, to set aside certain portions of their development as lots for moderate-income homes,” Thompson said.

So, here we are.  In the middle of an economic housing bust, one we are trying to fix by ridding ourselves of a housing glut, and we are going to ADD to the complexity by mandating builders build homes on property they otherwise wouldn’t.  The result?  Somewhere, someone will be paying more for a home than it’s worth.  Sound familiar?

Jeez.

I am My Neighbor’s Keeper

North Carolina is somewhat unique in the region, heck, the country, as it relates to annexation laws.  North Carolina allows it’s cities to annex neighborhoods and developments without having to obtain the permission of those residents.  Further, there are no guidelines that the city must adhere to that could possibly allow this practice to help those folks who could really use it.  For example, when the city looks out over it’s borders and sees a new development being built, it can–and does–look into the nature of that development.  What is the mean value of the property?  What type of infrastructure facilities are being built into the development?  The roads and street that serve the development; are they being built in such a manner that would allow the city to assume them without additional cost?

And so it goes, each development has next to it’s name a score, or value.  If and when the city feels that it requores to expand it’s tax base, it just opens that dirty little black book and find the best fit.  And this best fit is the one that brings the most money into the city with the lowest political cost.  How do we know this is true?  Just look at the types of properties and neighborhoods that get annexed, and then look at those who don’t.  In fact, it’s these low value neighborhoods that aren’t brought into the fold even when they WANT to be annexed.

Proponents of this type of annexation will claim that the State’s cities are free of blight, that the services offered by the cities can expand and that, in general, the cities are much more “healthy”.  While it’s certainly true that more programs can be initiated when the tax base is in growth, it’s also true that many of those programs are unnecessary and grossly inefficient.  It’s always better to have less government than government thinks it needs.  So, if that government looks to increase it’s tax revenue, either through tax rate hikes or just more people paying taxes…beware.

Too Rich for Words

So, this morning we had a group of Acorn activists gather at the court house.  Their purpose?  To lobby on behalf of people who are facing foreclosure.  Their desire?  Well, according to this article, they are hoping to raise awareness of Barack Obama’s call for a 90 day moratorium on foreclosure.

This is awesome.

ACORN lobbing to delay home foreclosure proceedings on the very folks that they lobbied to get the loans in the first place.  Only in America.

Michael Delossantos, N.C. ACORN’s legislative director, said this morning that their effort across the country today was to “help save the American Dream of home ownership.”

It was ACORN’s involvement that helped contribute to the situation that we are in today.  Exactly why should anyone pay attention to this organization?