Category Archives: Economy

Because I Say It – It's True

I don’t understand why government feels the need to interject itself in the normal workings of a contract.  When I agree to have someone work on my yard, we enter into an agreement that they will provide the service and that I will pay the bill.  Similar, when I purchase goods over the internet, I enter into the same type of agreement.  basically, two parties are promising to trade and to pay according to that trade.  We both understand the implicit penalties associated with either of us defaulting.  either I won’t pay or they will take me to court.  Based on these promises and follow through by both parties, business is allowed to be conducted.

All of this can be done without involvement by the government.  Oh sure, we know it’s there.  We know that if we can’t resolve any conflict, one of us could be arrested and forced to appear in court.  And to that end, the government could send on officer of the law to our house or business to enforce that summons or judgment.  But in general, we expect the government to stay out of the normal execution of the contract.

So why, now, would the government insert itself into the normal functioning of a contract between parties?

The Consumer Economic Protection Act allows a clerk of court to continue a foreclosure hearing for up to 60 days. The delay would give a homeowner more time to work out a payment plan with the mortgage holder or service so the debtor can remain in the home.

For the life of me, I couldn’t understand why anyone would think that this was a good idea.  I tried looking at this from every angle I could think of and I didn’t see that this was solving any problem what so ever.  And then I read a little further:

“When a home is foreclosed, it’s bad for our families, it’s bad for our communities, it’s bad for our businesses, and it’s bad for North Carolina,” Perdue said. “This bill makes it easier for homeowners to work out a deal with their lenders and avoid foreclosure.”

And so there is was.  The Governor is not really trying to make the flow of business easier, she is trying to make re-election easier.   See, if we can give advantage to some group of people by punishing another group of people and that first group is larger or harder to otherwise control, the politician will always choose to provide that advantage.

That is not, however, to ignore the fact that this is BAD for the very people she is mentioning.  The stress of an impending foreclosure can take a huge toll on a family.  And really, what can happen in 60 days that will prevent the inevitable.?  Really, the family would be better served to go through the very well understood process of foreclosure and begin rebuilding as soon as possible.  And don’t forget, for every family that is foreclosed on, there is another family that will move into a new home.  And business?  How can the delay be good for business?  Lenders base their decision to lend on the fact that, in the event of non-payment, they can reclaim their risk.  This is preventing that process and will result in more expensive lending practices up front.

No, be very clear, this is not about helping businesses, this is about helping politics.

Finally, Change I Can Believe In

Usually when the government gets in involved in programs to make a certain thing better, more often than not, what is happening is that one group of people benefits while another group takes the hit.  For example, when Unions benefit by allowing the minimum wage the rise, the losers are the people priced out of the employment market.  Another example is when farmers are assisted by pushing ethanol programs the food market suffers as prices for corn, soy and wheat based goods suffer.  Very rare is the program initiated by the government that actually serves everyone well.

Recently the Obama administration rolled out just such a program.  In it, the President speaks to the idea of individuals saving for their own retirement “nest eggs”.    Anything that can be done to make this easier, all the while keeping the responsibility on the individual worker, is a fantastic idea.  In most cases government adds complexity to what could otherwise be simple and straight forward processes.  In the ideas that Obama is speaking about, he is making it easier to save.  He isn’t creating programs, isn’t creating unnatural incentives, he is simply making it easier.  And THAT is good.

However, he does speak to changing existing law or regulations.  He would like to change the way in which auto enrollment is handled.  Rather than having to opt in to a savings plan, he wants to be able to have the language stat that an employee needs to opt out.  When done in this manner, he could increase tha rate of those who save from 70% to about 90%.  A fantastic number.

In short, emphasis on savings and hard work coming from Washington that speaks to individual responsibility is a great thing.

Aha….Why Cost of Insurance is so High in Maine

Alright, so we have been discussing health care, health insurance and everything wrong with all of that.  As always, the Democrats cry out “We need this.  We just NEED this damn it!  And then they walk away to their voting place and vote for someone who wants to be in power, which is different than someone wanting to be a Senator, and presto, we have a voice in Washington that is going to legislate this health care for everyone thing.  On the other side, you have republicans, seriously going about the days business when they hear this nonsense and look up from their work and say “No”.  In much the same way a father says “no” to the 7th request for another cookie before bed.

And so, republicans are labeled as the party of “No”.  But this time around, the republicans have offered some solutions to bring the price of health care down.  Down for everyone.  Down to the point that every single person in the country can have insurance.  And one of the methods in doing that is to free insurance companies to sell policies to people outside of the state the reside in.  That is, as a citizen of North Carolina, I could purchase health insurance from a company in Washington state.  Or Arizona.  Or anywhere for that matter.  What THIS would do is free the consumer to choose and not be subject to the regulations placed upon the insurance providers in that state.  But even this causes Liberals to scream.

For example, a recent study found that Maine ranks 6th in the nation when it comes to expensive individual policies.  Sixth.  And folks around the lefty campfire are saying that the reason for the high prices is due to the monopoly that exists in Maine.  They claim that because Wellpoint has a 90%+ customer saturation base, they are able to charge whatever they want.  The problem is, those liberals are reporting only on the results, not the cause of the problem.

See, it turns out that in 1993 Maine passed laws requiring coverage to every citizen.

Blink.  Blink.

But that’s not bad enough.  Not only are they required to sell insurance to everyone that applies, they are also unable to distinguish based on gender, health status, claims experience or time with coverage.

Now, after that law passed, what do you supposed happened to the price?  Yeah, right through the roof.  And it drove out all but a few providers that specialized in mandatory care and THEY, in turn, bought up the remaining companies.  Net/net:  Noe one wants to do business in Maine and THAT’S why there is only one provider.

Damn.

Next thing these liberals are going to mandate is that all kids make the varsity.

The Price of a Stamp

So, in my last post I spoke some about the minimum wage and the buying power associated with it.  I used a concept shown to my by Mark Perry.  That is, comparing the cost of goods from 50 years ago to that price today.  I added a little twist and included the price of that good had it too kept up with inflation.

I thought it would be interesting to do the same thing with the cost of government controlled goods.  Like a postage stamp.

Here goes.

Cost of a stamp in 1958:  $0.04

Inflation Price:  $0.30

Real Price Today:  $0.44

So, while the price of products today is going down relative to it’s 1958 inflation price, the cost of postage is going up.  By almost 50%.

The Power of the Non-Minimum Wage

The argument for the minimum wage is that, without it, people will be unable to keep up with the essentials of life.  Let’s check that out.

In 1956 the minimum wage was $1.00 American.  One WHOLE dollar.  However, that translates into a whopping $7.93 today.  Which, by the way, is more than than current minimum wage set forth by the Federal Government; $7.25.

Let’s see how we compare:

Comparison of Prices:  1958 and 2008
Product Price in 1958 Inflation Price Real Price Today
Automatic Toaster $12.95 $95.39 $15.88
8 Cup Coffee Maker $15.50 $114.17 $19.99
AM Table Radio $13.95 $102.75 $29.00
Starter Guitar $17.95 with case $132.22 $99.99
Globe of the World $12.95 $95.39 $39.97
Flash Camera $5.90 $43.46 $45.88
Child’s Bicycle $18.45 $135.90 $59.00
Pup Tent $13.92 $102.53 $38.88

So, what does this tell us?  It tells us, that while wages have not kept pace with inflation, the cost of goods has also not kept pace with inflation.  In fact, the real price of goods has actually become cheaper, much cheaper, in terms of today’s dollars.

An interesting experiment conducted by Mark Perry in a post found here shows how many hours a worker would have to work to afford a defined set of products.

Again,we can do the same:

Comparison of Hours Worked: 1958 and 2008
Product Hours Worked in 1958 Hours Worked in 2008
Automatic Toaster 32.375 2.19
8 Cup Automatic Coffee Maker 38.75 2.75
AM Table Radio 34.87 4
Starter Guitar 44.87 13.8
Globe of the World 32.4 5.5
Flash Camera 14.75 6.3
Child’s Bicycle 46.1 8.1
Pup Tent 34.8 5.4

And again, we see that it’s not even close.  Not only have the products that we have to choose from expanded, but the cost of those products, in terms of real dollars AND hours worked have plummeted.

Unions and More Unions

More and more I am seeing evidence that the Labor movement is continuing to gather strength here in North Carolina.  We are seeing more stories in the newspaper, we are hearing more about it in the news broadcasts and we are beginning to see more action in the political front here in Raleigh.  See this article.

Unionists poured at least $4.7 million into Tar Heel political campaigns, and they put at least 1,000 boots on the ground, knocking on doors, putting up signs and handing out literature.

It’s clear, the efforts by the union have been ramped up.  And this might represent the last best chance for the unions here; their window of opportunity is now.  Right now.  They have a ground swell of Democratic support, both here in State and nationally as Obama helped the Democrats sweep into power.  And now, right now, is when we have to do our best work.  We have to be willing to do the hard work to make sure our voices are heard; both from the Democrats here in the tar Heel state as well as the Republicans.  See, Carolina is unique in that both sides of the aisle support business here.  It’s to both of our benefits to see that business are not held down by the horrible horrible weight of a union and the absolute drag on the economy they represent.

And don’t think that this fight is something that is limited to our humble state.  This fight is being fought in the National arena as well:

There is a bill in Congress that would allow all the nation’s sworn officers — police, firefighters and correctional officers — to bargain collectively. Its primary targets are North Carolina and Virginia.

In short, don’t sit back and think that others are going to work to stop this.  In fact, that is the opposite of reality; others are working to advance the cause of Labor.  And with it, the loss of jobs, the reduction in wages, the lack of investment In Carolina.  Basically, everything that we don’t wanna see come to North Carolina.

Minimum Wage Increase

Well, we’ve done it again.  Though this time, to be fair, we knew it was coming.  The minimum wage increased another $0.70 and is now at $7.25.

I have several personal stories from friends of mine explaining how hard it is for their teen child to find a job.  I suspect that it’s only going to get harder.  Employers are already struggling to make ends meet and now they’re forced to make due with a 10% higher labor force.  If this were any other commodity, experts would understand that somewhere the employer would have to cut.  For example, if the price of electricity went up by 10%, the businessman would be forced to make up for that cost somewhere else.  Or, if the price of milk went up by 10%, again, he would make up for it in other places.

I’ve been awfully hard on the minimum wage proponents and have done some thinking.  As one of the core pillars of my argument, raising the minimum wage may actually impact only a very few.  Only a very small percentage of Americans actually make the minimum wage.  Next, the employer may react not be cutting workers, but by reducing hours.  If done perfectly, that is each worker would see a 10% decrease in hours worked, he comes out ahead; he gets the same pay as before, but does so at a 10% discount in his time.  And last, labor may only be a small part of an individual employers expenses.  For those businesses with small labor costs, the increase will be negligible.

Last, before I walk away from this for a bit, is my favorite question for the pro-minimum wage folks.  If raising the wage 70 cents is a good idea, why not raise it to 20 bucks?

The Michigan Democratic Party is considering asking voters to raise the state’s minimum wage from the current $7.40 an hour to a national high of $10 an hour, increase unemployment benefits and require all employers to provide health coverage.

Unbelievable.

Fruits of Our Labor – II

Some time ago I wrote about the impact of the new consumer protection measures.  In fact, I was keyed onto this by a post from Dave Ribar on the subject.

Dave’s main point was that credit card companies won’t raise the annual fees they are charging their best companies; so far he is right.   But those credit card companies ARE doing other things.  According to an article in the Wall Street Journal, we are seeing:

Credit-card issuers increasingly are moving consumers into variable-rate cards rather than fixed-rate ones, due in part to the new credit-card law slated to go into effect in phases starting in August.

What this means is that credit card companies are simply determining that government regulation is correctly seen as “damage” and they are routing around it.  See, by definition, the variable rate cards are not subject to the new law passed by Congress.

The new law limits creditors’ ability to raise interest rates, but it can’t control changes in the prime rate – the index that’s the basis for most variable-rate cards. So even after the new law starts to limit rate increases, variable-rate cards will still change if and when the index they’re based on changes.

Again, this law is another example of the government stepping in to rescue people who are simply demonstrating irresponsible behavior.  If I have money to borrow, and I determine that Pete is less trust worthy than Sally, there is only on way in which I borrow to Pete; charge him more.  If Pete would like to enjoy better terms, he could accomplish that by proving that he is more trustworthy.

Again, if a certain group of people feel tha high risk borrowers should be afforded credit, they are free to do this with their own money.  Forcing others to do it by rule of law is ignoring basic laws of economics as well as going against human decency.

Priorities and Scare Tactics

Look, it’s simple.  We all do it.  There are times in every good household when something unexpected comes up.  Or, in times of over spending, perhaps it shouldn’t be unexpected, but, you get the point.  You look in the checkbook and look at the bills and confirm that it isn’t going to add up.  You are going to have to reduce spending or get another job.  It happens to all of us.  Happens to me.  Will happen to me again.  And this is healthy; it forces us to keep what is important to us and shed what isn’t.

For example, as I monitor my “play money” fund and see that it’s going to be bankrupt in 3 months I am forced to review what I am paying for in terms of “play”.  I see that I have 3 magazine subscriptions and 5 on line subscriptions.  Further, I am spending 90 bucks a month on aikido and so on and so on.  Given that I have to shave off $50 a month, I go through what everybody goes through.  I itemize my “play money” expenditures, rank them in order of value and cut the ones that are of LEAST VALUE!  Notice I say value, not dollar expenditure.  See, I really appreciate my aikido and am willing to keep that program intact even though it has a higher dollar value than say, Forbes.  Sadly, Forbes is a redundant source and it gets wacked.

What I don’t do is this:

Democrats generally agree that tax increases are needed to avoid what they say would be devastating cuts to education and social services for children and the state’s poor.

See, to me, that’s disingenuous.  Who DOESN’T want to avoid cutting these programs?  There’s not a person in the world that wants to cut education and social services.  First.  It has to be at the top, or close to it, of every single politicians value list.  Or should be.  And that’s what makes me mad about Liberals.  They want and take the easy way out every time.

  • When forced to cut, they won’t.
  • When asked to prioritize, they won’t.
  • When required to do what all adults do-they balk.

Now, this doesn’t mean that Education won’t have to cut back some.  It doesn’t mean that schools have a green light to spend spend spend.  But what it does say is that there HAVE to be places where we can cut before we have to implement “devastating cuts to education and social services”.

Sheesh.

Corporate Good Will

This is how it should be done.

The state’s largest natural gas utility is asking its customers to pay a little extra each month, in a novel effort to help cover heating bills for low-income residents.

Piedmont Natural Gas, with 725,000 customers in the state, expects a surge of delinquent bills this winter in the midst of a grinding recession and is hoping to avert a corresponding increase in disconnected accounts.

The company this morning introduced a program to let its customers sign up to “round up” their bills, with the difference going to a fund to help residents who can’t afford to pay their utility bills. The program rounds up Piedmont customer bills to the nearest dollar and will result in an average monthly donation of 50 cents, or about $6 a year.

If 100,000 people sign up, Piedmont would raise about $600,000 a year toward the program. The company is contributing $100,000 of its own money and will contribute $50,000 more if 100,000 people sign up.

The money would be given to the state Department of Health and Human Services to distribute to social-service agencies. The donations would be distributed to all customers who can’t pay their utility bills, not just natural gas customers.

Here is a corporation that is using it’s position in society to help society.  Further, it is doing it by asking, not forcing by fiat.  Further, Progress is putting it’s money where it’s mouth is; they are donating $100,000 of their own money to the program.  Lastly, they are giving the money to social-service agencies to distribute as needed; not force those agencies to simply return that money to Progress.

Kudos to Progress Energy!