Tag Archives: North Carolina

The Economist Weighs In

Look, I’m just a guy with a college degree.  I’m not an economist but I am handy with numbers.  And, mostly, I am capable of free thinking.  Which is why I find this article from The Economist laughable.

We start off well, in fact I had high hopes after just the first sentence.

DIAGNOSING what is wrong with America’s health-care system is the easy part.

I happen to agree with the author’s take.  I DO think that it’s easy to diagnose what’s wrong with America’s health-care system.  Which is why I was disappointed when The Economist got it wrong.  Not even 30 seconds later we are stunned to learn that nearly 50 million Americans don’t have coverage.  This is gross and simply unacceptable for a major news source to make a statement this absurd.  50 million.  Americans.  Uninsured.  Really?  Let’s take a look.

  • The real number being used is 47 million
  • Of those 47 million it’s been reported that 9 million are enrolled in Medicaid and failed to report it
  • 8 million are kids.  These kids are now covered by SCHIP

We’re down to 30 million now.  Fully 40% off the 50 million number quoted by the Economist.  But there’s more–way more.

  • 1.7 million are parents making more than 300% of FPL [federal poverty level]
  • 5.9 million are non-parent adults making more than 300% of FPL
  • 3.1 million are adult parents eligible for assistance today
  • 2 million are non-parent adults who are eligible for assistance today

Now we’re at 17.3 million.  17.3 million people who are not covered.  Now for the best part.  Wait for it—wait…waaiit……9 million aren’t even US citizens.  How AWESOME is that?!?

So, after getting the number down to 17.3 million, we’re able to shave off another cool 9 mill  bringing us to the grand total of 6.3 million.  And we get 50 million from The Economist.  Gross.

Next the author compares the benefits of American health services with OECD and their averages.  As far as I can tell, the comparison used three metrics:

  1. Infant mortality rate
  2. Life Expectancy
  3. Survival Rates for Heart Attacks

Again, the depth, or lack thereof, in reporting is surprising.  It has been documented that the infant mortality rate in the US is much higher than other countries because of the methods used in reporting.  According to WHO the definition of birth is:

Live birth refers to the complete expulsion or extraction from its mother of a product of conception, irrespective of the duration of the pregnancy, which, after such separation, breathes or shows any other evidence of life – e.g. beating of the heart, pulsation of the umbilical cord or definite movement of voluntary muscles – whether or not the umbilical cord has been cut or the placenta is attached. Each product of such a birth is considered live born.

However, in many cases, countries fail to report all births due to their own definitions; for example:

  • In Switzerland and other parts of Europe, a baby born who is less than 30 centimeters long is not counted as a live birth. Therefore, unlike in the U.S., such high-risk infants cannot affect Swiss infant mortality rates.
  • In Belgium and France — in fact, in most European Union countries — any baby born before 26 weeks gestation is not considered alive and therefore does not “count” against reported infant mortality rates.
  • Some of the countries reporting infant mortality rates lower than the U.S. classify babies as “stillborn” if they survive less than 24 hours whether or not such babies breathe, move, or have a beating heart at birth.
  • In Canada, Germany, and Austria, a premature baby weighing <500g is not considered a living child.

When these and other reporting anomalies are factored in, Norway, which has the lowest infant mortality rate in the world, ranks no better than the United States.  Further, since 2000, 42 of the world’s 52 surviving babies weighing less than 400g (0.9 lbs.) were born in the United States.  Hardly an indicator that the United States if failing in the area of infant health.

The CIA has the United States ranked 50th in life expectancy.  And, as noted above, the article uses this metric in it’s assessment of the United State’s system.  However, it has been reported that Life Expectancy is not a valid measure of a country’s health care system:

…robust statistical analysis confirms that health care spending is not related to life expectancy.  Studies of multiple countries using regression analysis found no significant relationship between life expectancy and the number of physicians and hospital beds per 100,000 population or health care expenditures as a percentage of GDP.  Rather, life expectancy was associated with factors such as sanitation, clean water, income, and literacy rate.8 A recent study examined cross-national data from 1980 to 1998.  Although the regression model used initially found an association between health care expenditure and life expectancy, that association was no longer significant when gross domestic product (GDP) per capita was added to the model. Indeed, GDP per capita is one of the more consistent predictors of life expectancy.

Yet the United States has the highest GDP per capita in the world, so why does it have a life expectancy lower than most of the industrialized world?  The primary reason is that the U.S. is ethnically a far more diverse nation than most other industrialized nations.  Factors associated with different ethnic backgrounds – culture, diet, etc. – can have a substantial impact on life expectancy.  Comparisons of distinct ethnic populations in the U.S. with their country of origin find similar rates of life expectancy.  For example, Japanese-Americans have an average life expectancy similar to that of Japanese.

And this is just the first paragraph.  Keeping up with the Liberal press is simply exhausting.


Wake GOP Has This One Wrong

For a long time now, the left has cornered the market on Education issues in our politics.  They have dominated this perception and have won that marketing strategy.  For example, when asked which party supports education, most North Carolinian’s will reply that it’s the Democrats.  The irony of this is, of course, bitter.  It is the conservative family that stresses discipline, delayed gratification and higher education.  Many of the traditional democratic base does not take full advantage of the education system in our country.  So, how is it that the democrats have won the day on this issue?  It’s because the Teacher’s Unions support the liberal cause.  And when you have the teachers supporting the democrats, you end up having the perception that the Democrats support Education.  Simple.

And deadly.

We have to do a better job on this issue; there are very few things more fundamental to the success of a society than the education of it’s citizenry.  The higher the educational base is, the more wealthy that nation is, the better the economy and the better the innovation.  Quite simply, education is the engine that drives a nations out of the grinding poverty of third world status into the ranks of modern nations.  And for the elite programs, it is what drives modern nations into Super Powers.

Education is key; we have to take that issue back.  And that is why this saddens me.

Today, the Wake County GOP issued a statement saying, in short, “We disagree with the Year Round calendar.  Parents, take your child out of school for a day to protest.”

Even if I agreed with the concept that Year Round calendars are bad, which I don’t, THIS is NOT the way to handle that conflict.  Grown adults sit down, reason and come to valid conclusions.  They do not, repeat do NOT use children in a game of chicken.

This is just one more reason why the GOP is finding itself struggling.

They Will Never Learn

Okay, okay.  So I get it, I mean, who doesn’t?  In fact, who could miss it?  The whole world, literally, is in some form of economic downturn or another.  Much, if not all, of this can be laid at the feet of the real estate or housing bubble here in the United States.  It was, after all, the inflation of homes that caused banks and other lending institutions to over extend themselves and take on some really really bad investments.

Now, if you wanna get into any form of political blame game, you can.  Either it is the republicans for “de-regulation” or it’s the democrats for the Community Reinvestment Act.  Maybe it’s democrat ssenators refusing to reign in Frannie and Freddie.  Heck, maybe it’s republican senators failing to reign those guys in.  Whatever, the point is, some form of government “tampering” led the housing markets down the path they have taken.  And the result is, well, the result is where we are today.

So, the lesson?  The lesson, of course, is to just let stuff be.  Especially the housing markets!  Just don’t touch ’em right now!  For gawd’s sake, don’t touch ’em.

Right?

Anyone listening?

Cricket.  Cricket cricket.

Nope, they aren’t.  And here is the proof:

http://www.wral.com…

Paragraphs rendered:

A report being considered by Chatham County commissioners says that recent development trends have divided the county and priced people out of some areas.  In recent years, the eastern half of the county has seen a housing boom, with development springing up close to areas such as Cary and Chapel Hill. Meanwhile, experts say, the western portion of Chatham hasn’t seen that same growth.

This happens all the time.  Certain land areas experience higher growth than others.  As the demand for those land areas increases, that land becomes more expensive.  The county needed top study this?

“The homes that were being created were for people who were in a higher-income category,” Commissioner Carl Thompson said.

Ahh, well, maybe not.  Seems that that intuit what’s going on.  Good.

Real-estate broker Katy O’Leary said that weekly, she has to tell some customers that they can’t afford a home in the eastern part of the county. Home prices there run from $350,000 and up, she said.

I suspect the same is true of Jaguar dealers.  Some people can afford homes in expensive neighborhoods  Others can’t.

O’Leary said the disparity of housing prices has an easy explanation: “The dirt’s too expensive.”

High lot prices force developers to build mostly only higher-end homes, she said.

Amen sista’!  End lesson on Econ101.  Wait, what?  They aren’t happy with this?

We could “actually require developers, maybe, to set aside certain portions of their development as lots for moderate-income homes,” Thompson said.

So, here we are.  In the middle of an economic housing bust, one we are trying to fix by ridding ourselves of a housing glut, and we are going to ADD to the complexity by mandating builders build homes on property they otherwise wouldn’t.  The result?  Somewhere, someone will be paying more for a home than it’s worth.  Sound familiar?

Jeez.

I am My Neighbor’s Keeper

North Carolina is somewhat unique in the region, heck, the country, as it relates to annexation laws.  North Carolina allows it’s cities to annex neighborhoods and developments without having to obtain the permission of those residents.  Further, there are no guidelines that the city must adhere to that could possibly allow this practice to help those folks who could really use it.  For example, when the city looks out over it’s borders and sees a new development being built, it can–and does–look into the nature of that development.  What is the mean value of the property?  What type of infrastructure facilities are being built into the development?  The roads and street that serve the development; are they being built in such a manner that would allow the city to assume them without additional cost?

And so it goes, each development has next to it’s name a score, or value.  If and when the city feels that it requores to expand it’s tax base, it just opens that dirty little black book and find the best fit.  And this best fit is the one that brings the most money into the city with the lowest political cost.  How do we know this is true?  Just look at the types of properties and neighborhoods that get annexed, and then look at those who don’t.  In fact, it’s these low value neighborhoods that aren’t brought into the fold even when they WANT to be annexed.

Proponents of this type of annexation will claim that the State’s cities are free of blight, that the services offered by the cities can expand and that, in general, the cities are much more “healthy”.  While it’s certainly true that more programs can be initiated when the tax base is in growth, it’s also true that many of those programs are unnecessary and grossly inefficient.  It’s always better to have less government than government thinks it needs.  So, if that government looks to increase it’s tax revenue, either through tax rate hikes or just more people paying taxes…beware.

Wake County Schools

So, North Carolina has two very large school districts.  The way it works in Carolina, see, is that our schools districts are made up along the county lines; not by the cities.  This forces allows districts to be very very large.  For example, Raleigh is about the 48th largest city in the nation, and yet Wake County Public School  [WCPSS] is one of the top 10 in terms of student population.

The other thing that makes WCPSS unique is that it is one of the nation’s leading districts in how it is handling it’s student assignment.  Unlike many, if not most, districts across the country, WCPSS assigns students by financial status.  In this case, the district is using F&R [free and reduced lunches] as a proxy for income.  As a result, the policy that has been in place for a number of years is that the district planners are trying to keep all schools at no more than 40% F&R population.

The idea, according to district officials, is that as the ratio of low income students at a specific school increases, achievement decreases;for all students.   Therefore,  assignment by income, taccdording to the theory, increases achievement for all students as well as minimizing the chance that a school degenerates into an inner city horror show so prevalent among many of the nation’s districts.

Anyway, I was reading this weekend.  One story chronicled the difference in the assignment approach in Raleigh and Charlotte.  The other describes one local Charlotte school that has changed dramatically since that district abandoned busing in favor of local or neighborhood schools.

I am a big believer in education.  I firmly believe that the higher the education of the individual, the higher the income, the lower rate of incarceration and in general, the higher return to society.  Further, I am a strong supporter of public education.  While I typically am not in favor of entitlement programs, I find that educating our youth is not only helping them, but, from a national perspective, investing in ourselves.  Unlike perpetual welfare or the minimum wage, I find that our society is actually improved by providing public education to all children.

However, in time, I do come back to my data driven roots.  And in this case, I am finding that the studies showing the increase achievement not only to be sound, but compelling.  I do not claim that a poor child sitting next to a rich child will help both of them learn.  But what I am saying is this.  Schools in affluent neighborhoods are going to have parents that are involved in the school.  They are going to volunteer.  They are going to donate to the PTA.  They are going to make sure that the computer lab has, you know, computers.  Further, these parents are not going to accept that when there is violence in the halls, nothing be done.  They will demand action, and, because they have a demonstrable successful trajectory in life, they will get that action.  In short, the schools will be safer, cleaner and better equipped.  The exact thing, by the way, that will bring in the best teachers, or at least not have them running for the doors.

Folks on the other side, well, they see it another way.  They claim that busing takes away from the neighborhood feel.  They claim that busing takes away time for a child to study.  They claim that they moved into a certain neighborhood to go to a certain school.  In some ways, I empathize.  In most, I don’t.  My take, is that when data and studies show that a particular method works, and integration of economic societies helps, you go with the data.  Every time.

Just look again at that Charlotte school.  Its only been 7-8 years and the schools has fell back to old times and ways.  Sure the Charlotte district will say that they are keeping up with Wake, but, I don’t think they are.  The schools themselves certainly are not.  And, as older sentimental teachers retire or just give up, the scores will show it too….

I Can’t Put My Finger On It

I am a big big believer in people helping people.  In a community coming together to help their neighbors in need.  In is through thiese efforts that our society is to help each other; not through taxation and government programs.

And so it is that I really admire and respect the work that Habitat for Humanity does.  They gather volunteers from the community, obtain donated money and build homes for people that are unable to afford them in the conventional manner.  These homes are provided in the form of interest free loans.  Further, because the materials and time are often donated, the actual cost of the home is reduced even further; sometimes half.

However, I can’t shake the feeling that organizations like these are just beside themselves at the prospect of an Obama Presidency.  And so it is that I have to chuckle at this:

Paragraphs rendered

To qualify for a Habitat home, a family of two must earn between $28,000 and $30,000 annually. For a family of three, earnings must be between $31,000 and $33,000. A family of five would have to earn between $35,000 and $37,000.

“These people clearly demonstrate a need for having a house built for them,” Hoke County Habitat board member Daphne Graham-Dudley said. “They do not meet the income levels.”

Habitat offers interest-free loans to the homeowners, who in turn make payments back to Habitat. The group relies on homeowners making payments so they can have funds to build other homes.

“Those people have to pay those loans back, because it won’t work if they don’t,” Hoke County Habitat President Bill Evans said.

Universal Health Care vs. Government Offered Health Insurance

I have been sitting on this one for awhile now.  It’s a tough one.  Something that no one wants to see and few have the answers to.  From the right, we all know the responses, but do we really know the reasons?  And, to be honest, do we really believe what it is we are saying?  I am talking about health care.  And, specifically, the availability, or lack thereof, of that care.

I think that when you ask the right about this topic, they picture people who refuse to work, refuse to better themselves or refuse to create for themselves a situation where they can obtain basic medical care.  Or, at the very least, purchase catastrophic health insurance.

Similarly, if you ask the left about health care or medical care they are envisioning individuals suffering due to tragic life threatening illnesses.  Situations where the individual has little or no control and the result is complete and utter financial ruin.

In short, I think that we are talking about two different things.  On one hand, we are discussing health or medical care as an industry; something that is in the macro sense.  On the other, we are discussing that same care on a deeply individual and tragic level.  And so, lost in conversation, the left and the right have no hope of compromise, no hope of a shared or common understanding.  How could they?  They’re not even talking about the same things.

And so it is when I discuss health care.  Coming from the right, I shudder at the thought of Nationalized Health Care.  Or Socialized Medicine.  Or Single Payer Insurance.  Or anything that is called whatever that means everyone is able to seek any medical care and not receive a bill.  And yet, these same opponents of mine will lash out at me as in separate conversations as being part of the Religious Right.  I don’t get it.  At the same time I am someone who is deeply religious and yet I am able to turn a blind [and greedy] eye to the grandmother suffering in pain, struggling to stay alive and knowing that she is going to bankrupt her family?  I just shake my head.

I don’t understand how anyone could possibly hear such a story and walk away untouched, unmoved; certainly not me.  But again, we are reading from two different scripts here.

And so it is that I continue to support what I know to be true.  Medical Care is a service.  And as such, it creates a certain demand or need or want.  And there is more of that want that there is supply of the service.  And so, as we all know, that service, that medical care, has to be rationed in some way.  However you want to close your eyes and sing lalalalalalala and not believe it, there is simply NOT enough supply to satiate all of thedemand.

There are many ways to solve this problem.  I’m not going to list them here.  But my favorite method to resolving this delta in supply and demand is …… price.  It is by price that we SELF ration the demand and come to a equilibrium where the supply is in harmony with the demand. [Cue Disney Hummingbirds].

However, I also am a big BIG believer in Role of Government.  That is to say that at each level of government, there are certain and appropriate roles and expectations.  For example, I do NOT thin that it is the role of the Federal Government to mandate or assume management of Health Insurance.  However, as we get more and more local, in fact, if we even just jump from Federal to State, we find that the role or expectation of the Government changes.  I think that this is true for the case involving abortion and I think that it is tru here; for Health Care.

And so it is that I find this development, not an attack on Conservatism, but as example [could it be better?  Sure.] of what can happen when members of a community State gather together, discuss what is important to them as people, and vote that they want to offer this type of service where they live.  That they want to offer care to those that are less fortunate.  This, THIS I believe is the role of the State.  Not, however, of the Nation.

Congrats Kay Hagan

Kay Hagan had her first speech on the Senate floor this week.  I am sure that it was a proud moment for her and for her family.  Well done and good luck.

In part:

“When someone is discriminated against in the workplace or anywhere else, surely they feel the impact of that discrimination far longer than 180 days,” she said.

They may, in fact, feel the impact for the rest of their life.  But at some point, ya gotta bring your case or—or not.

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Congrats Senator Burr

Probably a minor news topic, but hey, we’ll take what we can get.

Sen. John Kyle of Arizona, the Senate Republican whip, appointed Burr to serve as his chief deputy whip. Kyle cited Burr’s “outstanding leadership skills.”