Which really, isn’t that bad. Then again, I’m out on a limb with Virginia and Colorado while Obama is pretty much a lock in every state going blue in the map above. The default leanings when you pull up the map have Michigan and Wisconsin as toss-ups; I don’t think there’s a chance they break for Romney – though you would think his dad could help in Michigan. I think Obama will carry the big Ohio and Pennsylvania states with Florida going for Mitt. Like I said, Virginia might be wishful thinking. However, only PPP has Obama ahead by more than 4.
The good news? If my “out-on-a-limb” picks hold Romney would only need to steal a single state like Michigan, Ohio or Pennsylvania. Or maybe the republican governors in Wisconsin and Iowa can deliver their states for Romney. With Ryan on the ticket, he may actually pull Wisconsin over. If he does and the rest holds, that gives Obama a 271 to 267 win.