I can’t know.
No one doubts that Obama had his ass handed to him in the first debate. And I think that has been clouding everyone’s expectations for this one.
If Obama is anything at all Presidential he’ll do better than he did last time; which is “a win.” However, winning means swaying voters.
Obama was much stronger than he was last time. And Romney was much more, ahh, less CEO’ish than last time. I think that adds up to an Obama win. I think Obama gets it in a nod; 3-4 points. But I said that about Biden too.
The real question – Did either win votes?
Neither did well enough to sway independents.
Both CNN and CBS have Obama by 7 points. They are both calling it an “edge.”
I agree. Obama did better largely on the fact that he didn’t suck as much as he did last time. Neither sealed the deal.