North Carolina Governor’s Race

To be fair, North Carolina is a local Blue state.  We like our state house and senate to be democrats.  Our governors?  We like them to be democrats too.  Locally we bleed a fair shade of blue.

So to say that Bev Purdue won the office in 2008 isn’t a completely accurate picture.  It helped her, sure, but it’s hard to say that was the only factor.

What is true is that she is a wildly unpopular governor.

And when I say npopular, I mean UNpopular:

Her numbers are so low she’s isn’t even gonna try and run for her second term.  She bowed out leaving the race to a bunch of democrats that don’t carry much name recognition.

So, in a time when democrats from Florida to Ohio to Wisconsin feel they have the republicans on the ropes, North Carolina is about to deal a serious blow to the hopes they have of making significant in roads to the control of the states the republicans took in 2008:

Two polls put the early governor’s race in context. The left-leaning Public Policy Polling took a look at the primary races, but the conservative Civitas Institute looked ahead to November.

Civitas found Republican Pat McCrory holds a clear lead on his lesser-known Democratic challengers. The closest contest is McCrory vs. Bob Etheridge, a former congressman and superintendent of education. In a hypothetical matchup, McCrory takes 46 percent to Etheridge’s 32 percent.

If McCrory faced Lt. Gov. Walter Dalton in an election held today, his margin of victory is greater: 49 percent to 30 percent. State Rep. Bill Faison of Orange County trails by 21 points, the poll shows.

The biggest democratic hope is the recall in Wisconsin.  But their chances there seem low and getting lower.  While unions may not be pleased with the legislation passed by Walker and the republicans, those changes are working and providing relief all through the state.

4 responses to “North Carolina Governor’s Race

  1. Why do you say the chances for the Democrats are getting lower? That’s not what I’ve heard. And if Walker gets credit for the recovery in Wisconsin, does Obama get credit for the recovery nation wide?

    • Why do you say the chances for the Democrats are getting lower?

      Of the 8 seats up for election, several are in conservative states.

      if Walker gets credit for the recovery in Wisconsin, does Obama get credit for the recovery nation wide?

      The benefits in Wisconsin are tied directly to the bill that was passed while the Wisconsin democrats were cowardly hiding in Illinois. For one; the ability to shop for insurance. The other aspect has allowed district after district to save jobs rather than lose ’em.

      Obama’s plans have no such correlation.

  2. Wisconsin is improving at the same pace as others, its part of a general recovery. Still, I think Walker’s in real trouble. I don’t think his prospects are getting better, I think the tone and aggressive stance he took turned off a lot of Wisconsin independents who don’t want to see so much raw partisanship in their state’s politics.

    The GOP can still do good in 2012 but lately their internal fighting and distractions like Rush Limbaugh’s “slut” comments have been gifts to the Democrats. If the economy continues to improve, the GOP will have problems this year. I’m not sure an improved economy is sustainable, so the GOP may roar back in 2014 and if they can have a positive forward looking message, may look very good in 2016. For now, 2012 feels to me like a good year for the Democrats.

    • Wisconsin is improving at the same pace as others, its part of a general recovery.

      I don’t think so. The reason he’s racing recall is due to his union legislation, specifically public unions. There Wisconsin is seeing massive benefits.

      distractions like Rush Limbaugh’s “slut” comments have been gifts to the Democrats.

      If I were a politician, I would make the case that Rush’s job is to comment on me, not the other way around. However, his point is valid. What is the word YOU would use to describe someone who thinks that someone else ought to pay for her rubbers?

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