The President is coming into the election against a head wind. Unemployment is high, his signature legislative win is unpopular, and getting more so, and he’s facing some stiff foreign relationship issues.
He’s up against it pretty tough. The relevant conversations of the day aren’t going his way. So, I don’t blame him for trying to change the national dialogue. For trying to pivot from issues he can’t manage well to issue that have proven to be traditional democrat strong suits.
I get the contraception pivot.
But it ain’t working.
The numbers, already bad for a sitting President, are getting worse:
At a time of rising gas prices, heightened talk of war with Iran and setbacks in Afghanistan, Mr. Obama’s approval rating dropped substantially in recent weeks, the poll found, with 41 percent of respondents expressing approval of the job he is doing and 47 percent saying they disapprove
Most of the country is smart enough to get it. Most of us know that what really matters are the things mentioned above; the economy, the wars and our standing in the world.
But Obama is also worried about a second term. And this is why he’s pandering to his traditional base, in this case women. But even that isn’t working as well as he wants:
In the head-to-head matchups, Mr. Obama also maintained much of the advantage he had built in the last year among important constituencies, including women, although he lost some support among women over the past month, even as the debate raged over birth control insurance coverage.
Even among women he’s losing ground. Still ahead to be sure, but he’s losing ’em. Which, if you think about it, makes sense. While all women I know feel strongly about women’s rights and their own health, very few of them disagree with the fact that a church or an employer should be forced to provide the services Obama wants to mandate. Further, they ALL know the difference between medicine that cures cysts and medicine that simply prevents pregnancies. No one thinks that we should be on the hook for casual sex.
Mr. Obama is going to have to handle the foreign issues well, not something I’m sure he’s capable of. He did demonstrate skill in Libya, so perhaps I’m off base, but I don’t feel overly comfortable that he’ll be able to manage the coming crisis between Iran and Israel.