Like just about everything else, football is a game that combines intuition, skill and luck. There are a lot of things that are repeatable and therefore predictable. Equally, there are a lot of things that are just dumb luck.
Things that are predictable?
Offensive Passing Efficiency.
Things that are Dumb Luck?
And one other very important thing that is often just dumb luck.
Games are played and not just “assigned”. You have to actually go play and see who wins. That’s the beauty of sport.
But that doesn’t change the science of modeling and statistics.
It turns out that there are very good models at predicting win loss results. Comparing those win loss results to real life displays luck; good and bad.
Wanna see the luckiest Team in the NFL? Wanna see the UNluckiest team in the NFL.
My beloved Vikings are the 6th unluckiest, just behind Dallas. Who, by the way, I mentioned should have beaten the boys in purple.
The 3 teams that are the luckiest?
Falcons, Cardinals and the Jets.