Time for some status. All the big primaries are over and we know who is running against who.
First, the Retiring Democrats:
State |
Status |
Democrat |
Republican |
Incumbent |
Front Runner |
Spread |
CT |
Ret. Dem |
Blumenthal |
McMahon |
Democrat |
Democrat |
7.5 |
DE |
Ret. Dem |
Coons |
O’Donnell |
Democrat |
Democrat |
15 |
IL |
Ret. Dem |
Giannoulias |
Kirk |
Democrat |
Republican |
1 |
IN |
Ret. Dem |
Ellsworth |
Coats |
Democrat |
Republican |
16 |
ND |
Ret. Dem |
Heitkamp |
Hoeven |
Democrat |
Republican |
27 |
I think we lost Delaware. And that’s okay. We weren’t going to take the Senate and this sent a message to the Republican establishment; Come big or Stay Home.
From my count, we moved from taking 4 to only taking 3.
The next group is the retiring Republicans. The only news of note is that Florida is steadily moving away from I-Crist to R-Rubio. One for the good guys:
State |
Status |
Democrat |
Republican |
Incumbent |
Front Runner |
Spread |
FL |
Ret. Rep |
Crist |
Rubio |
Republican |
Republican |
10 |
KS |
Ret. Rep |
|
|
Republican |
Republican |
|
KY |
Ret. Rep |
Conway |
Paul |
Republican |
Republican |
7 |
MO |
Ret. Rep |
Carnahan |
Blunt |
Republican |
Republican |
5.5 |
NH |
Ret. Rep |
Hodes |
Ayotte |
Republican |
Republican |
6.4 |
OH |
Ret. Rep |
Fisher |
Portman |
Republican |
Republican |
13.3 |
We lose 0.
The biggie. This is the one that counts; Term Limited Democrats. In my mind, we move from taking 4 to taking 5. Ohio went our way.
State |
Status |
Democrat |
Republican |
Incumbent |
Front Runner |
Spread |
AR |
Term Dem |
Lincoln |
Boozman |
Democrat |
Republican |
25 |
CA |
Term Dem |
Boxer |
Fiorina |
Democrat |
Democrat |
5.5 |
CO |
Term Dem |
Bennet |
Buck |
Democrat |
Republican |
2.4 |
HI |
Term Dem |
|
|
Democrat |
Democrat |
|
MD |
Term Dem |
|
|
Democrat |
Democrat |
|
NV |
Term Dem |
Reid |
Angle |
Democrat |
Democrat |
0.5 |
NY |
Term Dem |
Gillibrand |
Blakeman |
Democrat |
Democrat |
6 |
NY |
Term Dem |
|
|
Democrat |
Democrat |
|
OR |
Term Dem |
Wyden |
Huffman |
Democrat |
Democrat |
16 |
PA |
Term Dem |
Sestak |
Toomey |
Democrat |
Republican |
6.8 |
VE |
Term Dem |
|
|
Democrat |
Democrat |
|
WA |
Term Dem |
Murray |
Rossi |
Democrat |
Democrat |
6.2 |
WI |
Term Dem |
Feingold |
Johnson |
Democrat |
Republican |
8 |
Now, I admit, I AM ASSUMING that we win one of the three: New York, California or Nevada. BIG assumption. But that’s 5 to the good.
And the Term Limited Republicans? The news is so good I’m not even going to post it! We lose 0. Not even close.
That means I have the Republicans picking up 8 in the Senate. That moves us from 59-41 to 51-49.